Press Release

Online consumer-products sales, including D2C, to reach 15% of all sales by 2022, says AlixPartners report

April 2019

Yet many CP companies aren’t well-positioned to get their share, as evidenced by an analysis of recent earnings calls

NEW YORK (April 2, 2019) – Consumer-products (CP) companies, which in many cases currently lag many other industries in digital transformation, including in e-commerce capabilities, are facing a disruption that, while an opportunity for some, could leave many companies reeling. That disruption is the ongoing fundamental consumer shift to e-commerce in all its forms, including increasing demand for direct-to-consumer (D2C) sales, resulting in online sales of consumer products in the US growing to 15% of all industry sales, or to $175 billion, by 2022—3.6 times more than 2017 levels. That’s according to a new report released today by AlixPartners, the global consulting firm.

The report also finds that many if not most CP companies aren’t sufficiently focused on both the opportunity and threat that this digital future represents. One indication of that: The report analyzes the earnings calls of the 102 largest public CP companies in the US made during the four months leading up to Jan. 24, searching for terms such as “e-commerce,” “direct-to-consumer,” “online,” “Amazon,” and other words suggesting that digital strategies were being discussed. Fully one-third (or 34) of these companies made no reference to these terms in their calls with investors. And middle-market companies, those with less than $1 billion in revenues, were the least likely to talk about digital strategies, with 55% (11 out of 20 companies) failing to discuss this topic in their earnings calls.

The report also notes the e-commerce sales rate of CP companies is currently only about half that of retailers in the US, and that recent combined e-commerce rates in countries like the United Kingdom (19% of all sales in 2017) and China (23% of sales) dwarf US rates—suggesting that the future for US companies is either digitization or decline.

“Long gone are the days when consumer-products companies could rely exclusively on the power of their brands and their relationships with retailers to drive sales,” said David Garfield, global co-leader of the consumer products practice at AlixPartners and a managing director at the firm. “Companies that don’t act quickly and decisively to implement the right digital strategies, including, where appropriate, direct-to-consumer strategies, will likely find themselves falling far behind.” 

“The fact that many consumer-products companies aren’t even incorporating e-commerce as a key part of their strategic narrative on their earnings calls is very telling,” said Andrew Csicsila a managing director in the consumer products practice at AlixPartners and one of the authors of the report. “A fundamental shift in CP companies’ relationships with their consumers is already underway, and a strategic realignment inside companies is necessary to position themselves for this digitally-oriented future.”

The AlixPartners report goes on to recommend that the key issues CP companies should be focusing on today are: assortment (including product innovation), consumer experience (including timely delivery), supply-chain optimization, opportunistic M&A (including to gain digital capabilities), and organization capability.

About AlixPartners

AlixPartners is a results-driven, global consulting firm that specializes in helping businesses successfully address their most complex and critical challenges. Our clients include companies, corporate boards, law firms, investment banks, private equity firms, and others. Founded in 1981, AlixPartners is headquartered in New York, and has offices in more than 20 cities around the world. For more information, visit www.alixpartners.com.

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