Jeff Goldstein
Boston
Jeff Goldstein
In 2027, we predict more than $150B in media deal value, but with a critical shift. The conversation around the industry's mega deals will evolve from "Will the deal happen?" to "Did it work and what comes next?", a pivot from the value-and-volume scorekeeping of recent years.
Last year, we predicted more than $80B in media M&A deal value for 2026, driven largely by media companies consolidating legacy assets while investing in new technologies. Our prediction proved correct: Deal value grew 20% in H1 2026 to $112B, and mega deals across media subsectors continue to dominate the M&A landscape.
Successful media mega deals command an EV/EBITDA premium nearly double that of failed integrations 3-4 years post-close. Integration execution separates winners from laggards—those that succeed generate follow-on deal capacity, while failed integrations curtail future M&A activity.
Financial discipline, strategic clarity around target assets and IP, and rigorous post-merger integration determine whether companies expand or contract next.
Following successful mega deals, strategic carveouts will create new M&A targets. Legacy media organizations are divesting to redeploy capital—Comcast’s announced spinoff of NBCUniversal and Sky exemplifies this shift.
Mid-market M&A will grow, targeting high-growth segments where customers spend more time: CTV, podcasts, and creator economy platforms. Fox’s $22B Roku acquisition signals a customer-centric consolidation strategy: pairing legacy content with modern distribution and data capabilities. First-party data and AI infrastructure are emerging as core M&A drivers in 2027.
Successful integrations unlock follow-on deal capacity. Now is the time for rigorous post-merger planning to ensure future expansion. For investors, rigorous due diligence is critical. In 2027, the question shifts from “Did it happen?” to “Did it work and what comes next?”
The media and entertainment industry is entering its next phase of transformation. As AI reshapes operating models and economics, businesses across the sector are under growing pressure to turn attention, investment, and innovation into sustainable value. Click through to explore the six shifts we believe will shape the year ahead, and the opportunities they create for businesses ready to act.